Compared to the survey in March, there is now no big difference in the electorate picture ahead of the upcoming elections. We note an erosion of trust in PP-DB, their difference with GERB is now slightly over 9%. So the first is separated quite a bit forward. This was announced on Nova TV by Dimitar Ganev from the Trend sociological agency, citing the latest results of their survey.
According to Ganev, after the first GERB-SDS, three formations were formed, with close results – DPS, PP-DB and Vazrazhdane. It is possible for each of them to become second, third and fourth, Ganev pointed out. According to him, a quarter of Bulgarians still haven’t decided who to vote for.
The BSP ranks fifth in terms of trust, followed by “Ima talik narod”. Several small parties have a chance to jump the electoral barrier, but they are difficult to predict at this point.
From these results we draw the conclusion that in this situation it will be difficult to form a government between two of the formations. But even if they achieve 121 MPs, it will be difficult to govern. Three variants are formed: 1. Repetition of the assembly – GERB-SDS, PP-DB and DPS. 2. GERB-SDS, DPS and a third entity. H. New elections. It is very difficult to find political options outside of these possibilities. It depends on the campaign whether a formation can lose or mobilize a new vote. But do not expect revolutionary changes. Turnout is again expected to be low. We will again see competition between hard electorates, Ganev predicts.
: We are waiting for a new assembly – Elections){kind=link}