By 2030, the strip connecting Nessebar with the mainland will remain below the tide level.
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By the end of this decade, Nessebar may become an island, Sunny Beach may lose almost its entire current beach, and Burgas and Varna may find themselves with key roads and infrastructure submerged by the sea.
This shows a visualization of the forecasts for the development of the climate crisis in the next more than 100 years. It is made on the basis of Google maps and the data is from the currently dominant consensus in scientific circles for the most likely scenario. And there are worse scenarios, as well as those that are truly frightening, but the chance of their realization is questionable.
The authors are Climate Central, a Princeton-based group of scientists and specialists in explaining in accessible language the conclusions and hypotheses in science, especially those based on large databases. Their organization is non-governmental, not-for-profit and not politically bound.
Here are some shots from Europe and Bulgaria that warn of what is to come, not somewhere far in the future, but in the present:
In 2030, not only the Old Town but also the New Town of Nessebar will be affected (areas in red).
Almost all of Sunny Beach’s current coastline is likely to be below high tide level by the end of this decade.
The coastline of Pomorie may look much, much different than it does now, in 2030.
The contours of the Atanasovo lake near Burgas may be seriously changed in the next few years.
Areas of Varna threatened to remain under water during high tide in 2030 and…
… in the year 2100
In Italy, almost from Ravenna in the north and east to the border with Slovenia is threatened by sea floods by 2030.
But everything shown for Bulgaria is incomparable to the forecasts for parts of France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Denmark and Great Britain. Cities such as Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague may be submerged or surrounded by seawater, and Cambridge may be on the seashore.
