US Army Cadre
The world as we know it is going away and it is obvious for all to see.
Local wars are a fact in many places of the world, but they are only a harbinger of the great war that will turn everyone’s life upside down.
Russia, Iran and China pursue their own geopolitical interests. Such requests are also given by other regional players who want their pie in changing the world map.
The United States is one moment away from a world war it can lose. There are serious conflicts requiring US attention in two of the world’s three most strategically important regions.
If China decides to attack Taiwan, the situation for the US could quickly escalate to a global war on three fronts – in Ukraine, Israel and the Asia-Pacific region, writes A. Wes Mitchell Foreign Policy, reported Epicenter.
In such a scenario, it will be difficult for Washington to fend off a possible attack given that it is committed to providing military aid to Ukraine and Israel.
The Chinese navy already surpasses the US fleet in terms of number of ships, and each time it increases by an amount equivalent to the entire French fleet (about 130 ships, according to the chief of staff of the French Navy), the publication noted.
By comparison, the US Navy plans to expand by 75 ships over the next decade, according to a Foreign Policy article.
According to the material, the immediate priority for the United States should be to ensure that Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan have the necessary weapons to defend themselves as very important players in this situation.
The US and its allies must mobilize with real urgency in the face of what threatens to become the global crisis of our time, the publication warns.
“The situation is so serious that Washington may have to invoke the Defense Production Act and begin converting some civilian industry to military purposes.
Even then, the U.S. government may have to take draconian measures, including diverting materials destined for the consumer economy, expanding production capacity, and revising environmental regulations that make it harder to produce military materials,” the article said.
The US still has the best military in the world, but…
But with Russia preparing for a long war in Ukraine and with a second front opening in the Middle East, the temptation for a rapidly arming China to move against Taiwan is growing.
Beijing is already testing Washington in East Asia, knowing full well that it will be difficult for the US to deal with a third geopolitical crisis. If war does break out there, the United States will suddenly find some very important factors working against it.
“One of those factors is geography. As the last two US national defense strategies have made clear and the most recent Congressional Strategic Posture Committee has confirmed – today’s US military is not designed to fight wars against two major adversaries at the same time. In the event of a Chinese attack against Taiwan, the United States will find it difficult to repel the attack while maintaining the flow of military aid to Ukraine and Israel,” the article noted.
The insidious reason
The reason is not because the United States is in decline. And because unlike the US, which needs to be strong on all three fronts, each of its adversaries – China, Russia and Iran – needs to be strong only in its own region to achieve its goals, the publication concludes.
The worst-case scenario is an escalating war in at least three remote theaters—with a thinly dispersed U.S. military and ill-equipped allies that are mostly unable to defend against major industrial powers with the resolve needed for a protracted conflict, and resources.
Waging this battle will require a scale of national unity, mobilization of resources and willingness to sacrifice that Americans and their allies have not seen in generations, the publication warned. “A global conflict would bring other dangers. Two of the US’s rivals – Russia and Iran – are major oil producers.
A recent report found that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid wider conflict in the Middle East could push oil prices above $100 a barrel, adding significantly to inflationary pressures.
China is a major holder of US debt, and a sustained sell-off by Beijing could put further strain on the economy. It’s safe to assume that Americans will face shortages of everything from electronics to housing materials.”
The human sacrifices
However, everything listed so far pales in comparison to the human losses that the United States could suffer in a global conflict, the publication warns. “A large number of American service members are likely to die.
Some of the United States’ adversaries have conventional and nuclear weapons that can reach American territory; others may provoke Hamas-style terrorist attacks on US territory, which can be relatively easily accomplished given the state of the US’s southern border, the material states.
