ISW: Wagner’s Prigozhin is now the face of Russia’s “special operation” in Ukraine

The financier of “Wagner” Yevgeny Prigozhin asserts himself as the face of the Russian “special military operation” in Ukraine. On September 14, Prigozhin gave a recruitment speech in which he announced that Russian prisoners had been participating in the war since July 1, when they played a key role in the capture of the Vaglehirsk Thermal Power Plant. A Russian military blogger noted that Prigogine introduced a “Stalinist” method that allowed the Kremlin to avoid ordering a general mobilization that could inflame social tensions in Russian society.

ISW: Putin wants to avoid mass mobilization

It is more likely that Russia was responsible for the strikes on the Zaporizhia NPP

Bloggers constantly praise Prigozhin’s success in Ukraine and some even said he should replace the Russian defense minister Sergei Shoigu, whom Kremlin experts blame for the Russian defeat around the Kharkiv region.

This is stated in the daily analysis of the situation in Ukraine by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Russian military authorities continue to rely heavily on parts formed in Chechnya, to generate combat power for operations in Ukraine. On September 14, the Ukrainian General Intelligence Directorate (GRU) reported that the Russian leadership planned to transfer four Chechen battalions in Ukraine, but these battalions are small in number and mostly consist of non-Chechen mercenaries from economically disadvantaged regions of Russia. Videos were circulated on social networks showing a detachment of Chechen servicemen arriving in an unspecified region of Ukraine.

The Russian military leadership is probably trying to force the puppet forces of the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) evacuated from Kharkiv Oblast to move to the front line in Donetsk region, instead of strengthening the new front lines in Luhansk, their home region. Forcing the puppet forces to fight outside their stated areas is likely to exacerbate the problems with morale and will provoke possible insubordination, especially if Ukrainian forces advance further into Luhansk region.

The Russian occupation authorities turned off mobile internet in the occupied Luhansk region on September 14 also – possibly to maintain Russian operational security and better control the information environment as Russian forces, occupation officials and collaborators flee the newly liberated Kharkiv Oblast to Russia and its controlled territories. This was announced on September 14 by the Ukrainian head of the Luhansk region, Serhii Gaidai, who, however, hints that the occupation authorities intended, at least in part, to cover up large-scale evacuations and looting.

Funding the volunteer battalions is likely to put Russian cities and regions under financial pressure. ISW cites as an example the proposal of September 14 by the opposition MP from St. Petersburg Boris Vishnevsky, in which he asked the governor of the city to explain from which part of the city budget the funding of the volunteer battalions in the city is provided. The city government rejects his request, presumably assuming that or local authorities do not have enough funds for the battalion, or that the battalion’s funding comes from the Kremlin, or that the city is diverting funds from other parties in a way that would be embarrassing for public recognition. The model where the municipalities pay for part of the volunteer program is probably an experiment of the Kremlin to both conceal and diffuse program costs so that they are difficult to trace.

In the next analysis, it is also affected the specific course of military actions in Ukraine for the past day.

Russian forces may have attacked Ukrainian hydrotechnical infrastructure in the western part of Dnipropetrovsk region on September 14, to impede Ukrainian operations across the Ingulets River. Ukrainian sources reported that eight Russian cruise missiles hit unspecified targets in Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and caused extensive flooding in areas of Kryvyi Rih.

Zelensky accuses Russia of trying to flood his hometown

X-22 cruise missile strikes have destroyed a dam

Russian sources identified the target site as the Karachun Dam, which is located along the Ingulets River on the western outskirts of Kryvyi Rih. The footage of the impact show an increase of 2.5 meters in the water level of the Ingulets River, which flows south of Kryvyi Rih and is an important geographical feature for the ongoing Ukrainian counter-offensive along the Kherson-Nikolaev border.

Russian forces are believed to have targeted the Karachun Damto damage the Ukrainian pontoon bridges further down down the line, especially in light of recent reports that Ukrainian troops are attempting to extend their bridgehead over the Ingulets River near David’s Bridge as part of the ongoing Kherson counteroffensive.

The Ukrainian counter-offensive in the eastern part of the Kharkiv region continues to degrade Russian forces and threaten Russian artillery and air defense. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on September 14 that the intensity of Russian artillery attacks on the city of Kharkiv had significantly decreased, suggesting that Ukraine’s counteroffensive had impaired the ability of Russian forces to conduct routine artillery strikes on the center of Kharkiv city while Russian forces were pushed east to the Oskil River and north back into Russia.

Ukrainian advances in eastern Ukraine likely forced Russian forces to withdraw anti-aircraft defenses further from the front lines lines to protect these systems from Ukrainian artillery fire, potentially exposing Russian frontline troops to air attacks. The Ukrainian General Staff reported on September 14 that Russian convoys carrying S-300 and Buk systems passed through Lutugine, Luhansk Oblast towards the Russian border on September 11 and 12.

Russian sources continued to discuss limited Ukrainian ground attacks in eastern Kharkiv, northern Donetsk and western Luhansk regions. Several Russian bloggers claim that Russian and proxy forces defend against Ukrainian attacks on Liman in the northern part of the Donetsk region.

The front line in eastern Ukraine approached the borders of the LPR

The front line in eastern Ukraine approached the borders of the LPR

The Ukrainian counteroffensive continues

Russian sources also reported that fighting is taking place in Bilogorivka (on the border of Donetsk and Luhansk regions) and in nearby settlements around Siversk. The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian troops attempted to attack in Spirne (12 km south of Bilogorivka), possibly in an attempt to push north and threaten Ukrainian forces in Bilogorivka.

Ukrainian military sources remained operationally silent on September 14. The head of the Kherson regional council, Oleksandr Samoilenko, announced that Ukrainian forces had liberated Kiselovka, approximately 23 km northwest of the city of Kherson, but Ukrainian military officials have not confirmed the release of the settlement at this time. ISW has no proof to support Samoilenko’s claim, and Russian sources have denied local Ukrainian reports of progress in the area.

Ukraine’s Southern Operations Command reported that Ukrainian strikes have continuously undermined Russian efforts to repair the Kakhovsky Bridge over the Dnieper River and have rendered the Darivka Pontoon Bridge over the Ingulets River impassable.

Ukrainian forces reportedly have continued to attack Russian crossing points near the Antonovka area and shoot at the Russian convoys.

Ukrainian forces continued their blockade campaign, reportedly targeting points of concentration of Russian manpower and equipment in Khola Pristan (approximately 12 km southwest of the city of Kherson), Dudchany and Milove (both on the T0403 highway). The Southern Operational Command also reported that Ukrainian forces damaged four ammunition depots in the Kherson region. The Ukrainian General Staff also noted that Russian forces continue to deploy troops in residential areas, particularly in the Chaplinka region north of the border between Kherson Oblast and Crimea.

Footage on social media and statements by Russian-appointed occupation officials confirm Ukraine’s ongoing blockade campaign. Geolocated footage showed the aftermath of the Ukrainian strike on the School of Higher Sports Mastery, which reportedly served as a concentration zone for Russian troops. Geolocated footage also showed a Ukrainian volunteer air reconnaissance unit striking a Russian warehouse in Velika Alexandrovka, on the T2207 highway.

Local residents also reported hearing the sound of explosions and six rocket strikes near the city of Kherson. The head of the Kherson Oblast occupation administration, Vladimir Saldo, said Ukrainian forces had struck the Antonovsky Bridge, but noted that occupation authorities continued to use ferry crossings in the area. The deputy head of the Kherson Oblast occupation regime, Kiril Stremousov, said Ukrainian forces fired on a ferry carrying civilians across the Dnieper River near the Antonovsky Bridge. Numerous videos show that Russian forces use ferries to transport military equipment across the Dnieper Riverand Stremousov did not provide evidence to support his claims.

Ukrainian and Russian sources identified three main areas of kinetic activity on September 14: northwest of the city of Kherson, around the Ukrainian bridgehead over the Inhulets River, and south of the Kherson-Dnipropetrovsk border near Visokopilya. Russian millibloggers claim that Ukrainian forces have taken defensive measures near Posad-Pokrovske (about 30 km northwest of the city of Kherson) and are conducting reconnaissance operations, shelling Russian defenses in Blagodatne and Barvinok (just south of Posad-Pokrovske).

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks at Novogrikhorivka (29 km northwest of the city of Kherson) and Bezymenno near the Inhulets River. The Ukrainian General Staff said Russian forces shelled Mala Seideminukha and Novokhredevne – both settlements near Ingulets just south of Blagodatovka – indicating that Ukrainian troops had advanced further west of the Sukhii Stavok pocket.

Kadyrov denies any retreat in Ukraine

Kadyrov denies any retreat in Ukraine

He defines such news as “Western provocation”

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) also claims that Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian military equipment in Bruskinsky, along the T2207 highway, which flows into David’s Bridge. The Ministry of Defense did not comment on the situation in the Kherson region on September 14, only claiming that Russian troops struck Ukrainian positions along the Kherson-Nikolaev front line.

The article is in bulgaria

Tags: ISW Wagners Prigozhin face Russias special operation Ukraine

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